Scouting Report
Josh Norris holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Norris wins 61.9% vs left-shot opponents — Sturm shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Norris 52.9% vs Sturm 55.2% (+2.1%)
Offensive zone
Norris 58.9%
Defensive zone
Sturm 59.1%
Neutral zone
Norris 50.5%
Result
Josh Norris favored at 50.1%
50.1%
49.9%
Norris
Sturm
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Norris
Sturm
Edge
Even Strength
63.9% (36)
56.1% (716)
+7.8%
Power Play
50.0% (2)
67.7% (31)
-17.7%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (19)
51.1% (133)
-3.7%
On power play, Sturm has a +17.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sturm shoots left. Norris is 61.9% vs left-shot opponents (21).
Norris shoots left. Sturm is 56.1% vs left-shot opponents (592).
Home / Away
Norris
Sturm
Home
62.2% (37)
55.6% (412)
Away
50.0% (20)
56.0% (468)
By Period
Norris
Sturm
P1
64.3%
59.6%
P2
59.1%
52.0%
P3
52.4%
55.5%
Final 5 min
42.9%
56.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Norris
52.0%▲
50.5%
57.9%
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
55.8%