Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +8.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Norris 51.9% vs Sturm 59.0% (-8.0%)
Offensive zone
Norris 68.1%
Defensive zone
Sturm 75.7%
Neutral zone
Sturm 50.4%
Result
Nico Sturm favored at 52.7%
47.3%
52.7%
Norris
Sturm
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Norris
Sturm
Edge
Even Strength
52.2% (542)
60.6% (708)
-8.4%
Power Play
54.4% (57)
61.1% (18)
-6.7%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (30)
56.4% (101)
-9.7%
On penalty kill, Sturm has a +9.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sturm shoots left. Norris is 51.5% vs left-shot opponents (423).
Norris shoots left. Sturm is 56.5% vs left-shot opponents (563).
Home / Away
Norris
Sturm
Home
50.7% (351)
61.6% (451)
Away
54.0% (278)
58.2% (376)
By Period
Norris
Sturm
P1
55.6%
55.9%
P2
49.3%
58.9%
P3
52.1%
64.6%
OT
42.9%
70.6%
Final 5 min
50.0%
59.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Norris
52.0%▲
50.5%
52.1%
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
60.1%