Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.8% vs 53.7%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Danforth 52.5% vs Dowd 53.3% (+0.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Danforth 80.6%
Defensive zone
Dowd 75.4%
Neutral zone
Dowd 50.2%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 55.1%
44.9%
55.1%
Danforth
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Danforth
Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Danforth
1
0
Danforth
Dowd
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
2
Danforth
Dowd
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
1
Danforth
Dowd
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Danforth
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
54.3% (162)
55.4% (771)
-1.1%
Power Play
50.0% (10)
57.1% (7)
-7.1%
Penalty Kill
51.9% (27)
45.5% (165)
+6.4%
On power play, Dowd has a +7.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Danforth is 51.1% vs right-shot opponents (45).
Danforth shoots right. Dowd is 53.1% vs right-shot opponents (322).
Home / Away
Danforth
Dowd
Home
51.9% (81)
58.2% (462)
Away
55.1% (118)
49.3% (481)
By Period
Danforth
Dowd
P1
49.2%
55.6%
P2
50.8%
50.5%
P3
62.9%
53.9%
OT
20.0%
75.0%
Final 5 min
57.4%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Danforth
54.0%▲
51.5%
53.8%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2022 | 3 | 16:42 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 17, 2022 | 3 | 03:17 | Offensive | Justin Danforth |
| Mar 17, 2022 | 2 | 11:19 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 17, 2022 | 1 | 10:20 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |