Scouting Report
Justin Danforth holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Danforth 51.1% vs Dowd 49.1% (+5.8%)
Offensive zone
Danforth 72.9%
Defensive zone
Dowd 80.0%
Neutral zone
Dowd 55.4%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 54.2%
45.8%
54.2%
Danforth
Dowd
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Danforth
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
78.9% (19)
51.7% (644)
+27.2%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
0.0% (2)
+100.0%
Penalty Kill
9.1% (11)
41.6% (221)
-32.5%
On power play, Danforth has a +100.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Danforth is 60.0% vs right-shot opponents (10).
Danforth shoots right. Dowd is 51.3% vs right-shot opponents (320).
Home / Away
Danforth
Dowd
Home
50.0% (24)
48.6% (451)
Away
71.4% (7)
49.5% (416)
By Period
Danforth
Dowd
P1
55.6%
49.1%
P2
62.5%
47.3%
P3
50.0%
51.4%
Final 5 min
75.0%
52.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Danforth
54.0%▲
51.5%
54.8%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
49.0%