Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.5% vs 49.9%). Look for Danforth on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Danforth wins 46.8% vs right-shot opponents — Dowd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Danforth 49.5% vs Dowd 49.9% (-0.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Danforth 86.1%
Defensive zone
Dowd 56.4%
Neutral zone
Danforth 52.8%
Result
Justin Danforth favored at 63.0%
63.0%
37.0%
Danforth
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
1
(8 meetings)
7
1
Danforth
Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Danforth
2
1
Danforth
Dowd
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Danforth
2
0
Danforth
Dowd
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Danforth
3
0
Danforth
Dowd
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Danforth
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (546)
52.2% (835)
-1.7%
Power Play
50.0% (14)
60.0% (10)
-10.0%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (101)
44.0% (350)
-0.4%
On power play, Dowd has a +10.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Danforth is 46.8% vs right-shot opponents (173).
Danforth shoots right. Dowd is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (362).
Home / Away
Danforth
Dowd
Home
51.1% (315)
51.5% (619)
Away
48.0% (346)
48.1% (576)
By Period
Danforth
Dowd
P1
49.5%
51.7%
P2
51.4%
51.6%
P3
46.6%
47.0%
OT
100.0%
22.2%
Final 5 min
52.4%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Danforth
54.0%▲
51.5%
49.5%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 2024 | 3 | 09:16 | Neutral | Justin Danforth |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 2 | 05:41 | Offensive | Justin Danforth |