Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.5% vs 48.1%). Look for Dowd on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Danforth wins 42.1% vs right-shot opponents — Dowd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Danforth 48.8% vs Dowd 48.3% (+0.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Danforth 81.3%
Defensive zone
Dowd 77.4%
Neutral zone
Dowd 54.6%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 77.4%
22.6%
77.4%
Danforth
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
3
(3 meetings)
0
3
Danforth
Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
3
Danforth
Dowd
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Danforth
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (281)
49.2% (778)
+2.0%
Power Play
55.6% (9)
58.3% (12)
-2.7%
Penalty Kill
35.8% (67)
44.0% (234)
-8.2%
On penalty kill, Dowd has a +8.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Danforth is 42.1% vs right-shot opponents (95).
Danforth shoots right. Dowd is 48.5% vs right-shot opponents (326).
Home / Away
Danforth
Dowd
Home
52.0% (196)
46.3% (492)
Away
44.1% (161)
49.8% (532)
By Period
Danforth
Dowd
P1
48.2%
49.1%
P2
52.8%
48.2%
P3
42.2%
46.9%
OT
83.3%
71.4%
Final 5 min
48.5%
45.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Danforth
54.0%▲
51.5%
48.5%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
48.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2023 | 3 | 01:07 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 2 | 03:51 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 1 | 13:02 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |