Scouting Report
Justin Danforth holds a +9.8% FO% edge overall. Danforth wins 54.5% vs left-shot opponents — Novak shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Danforth 52.5% vs Novak 46.5% (+9.8%)
Offensive zone
Novak 64.6%
Defensive zone
Danforth 56.1%
Neutral zone
Novak 50.6%
Result
Tommy Novak favored at 53.1%
46.9%
53.1%
Danforth
Novak
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Danforth
Novak
Edge
Even Strength
54.3% (162)
43.2% (118)
+11.1%
Power Play
50.0% (10)
47.8% (23)
+2.2%
On even strength, Danforth has a +11.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Novak shoots left. Danforth is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (154).
Danforth shoots right. Novak is 39.6% vs right-shot opponents (53).
Home / Away
Danforth
Novak
Home
51.9% (81)
50.7% (71)
Away
55.1% (118)
37.1% (70)
By Period
Danforth
Novak
P1
49.2%
44.7%
P2
50.8%
50.0%
P3
62.9%
38.9%
Final 5 min
57.4%
35.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Danforth
54.0%▲
51.5%
53.8%
Novak
40.0%▼
42.0%
44.0%