Scouting Report
Justin Danforth holds a +13.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Danforth 51.1% vs Novak 43.4% (+13.0%)
Offensive zone
Novak 73.4%
Defensive zone
Danforth 61.7%
Neutral zone
Novak 56.9%
Result
Tommy Novak favored at 56.2%
43.8%
56.2%
Danforth
Novak
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Danforth
Novak
Edge
Even Strength
78.9% (19)
41.4% (379)
+37.5%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
46.9% (32)
+53.1%
On power play, Danforth has a +53.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Novak shoots left. Danforth is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (21).
Danforth shoots right. Novak is 42.1% vs right-shot opponents (140).
Home / Away
Danforth
Novak
Home
50.0% (24)
42.6% (195)
Away
71.4% (7)
41.2% (216)
By Period
Danforth
Novak
P1
55.6%
42.4%
P2
62.5%
39.2%
P3
50.0%
44.7%
Final 5 min
75.0%
40.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Danforth
54.0%▲
51.5%
54.8%
Novak
40.0%▼
42.0%
41.8%