Scouting Report
Tommy Novak holds a +13.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Danforth 47.8% vs Novak 45.6% (-13.7%)
Offensive zone
Novak 55.1%
Defensive zone
Novak 64.4%
Neutral zone
Novak 55.6%
Result
Tommy Novak favored at 58.4%
41.6%
58.4%
Danforth
Novak
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Danforth
Novak
Edge
Even Strength
40.0% (10)
43.8% (384)
-3.8%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
58.8% (17)
-58.8%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
100.0% (1)
-100.0%
On penalty kill, Novak has a +100.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Novak shoots left. Danforth is 33.3% vs left-shot opponents (12).
Danforth shoots right. Novak is 45.6% vs right-shot opponents (149).
Home / Away
Danforth
Novak
Home
33.3% (3)
46.5% (202)
Away
30.0% (10)
42.5% (200)
By Period
Danforth
Novak
P1
33.3%
49.2%
P2
14.3%
44.2%
P3
66.7%
40.0%
Final 5 min
50.0%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Danforth
54.0%▲
51.5%
30.8%
Novak
40.0%▼
42.0%
44.5%