Scouting Report
Aleksander Barkov holds a +9.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Barkov on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Barkov wins 46.6% vs left-shot opponents — Hayes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barkov 46.5% vs Hayes 38.0% (+9.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Barkov 62.0%
Defensive zone
Barkov 86.8%
Neutral zone
Barkov 85.6%
Result
Aleksander Barkov favored at 79.0%
79.0%
21.0%
Barkov
Hayes
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Barkov
Hayes
Last 7: Barkov 5-2 Hayes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
0
2
Barkov
Hayes
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Barkov
1
0
Barkov
Hayes
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Barkov
4
0
Barkov
Hayes
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barkov
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (856)
37.1% (642)
+9.3%
Power Play
45.0% (120)
32.1% (28)
+12.9%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (26)
0.0% (11)
+42.3%
On penalty kill, Barkov has a +42.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Barkov is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (612).
Barkov shoots left. Hayes is 38.2% vs left-shot opponents (419).
Home / Away
Barkov
Hayes
Home
46.7% (561)
36.7% (354)
Away
45.4% (441)
35.8% (327)
By Period
Barkov
Hayes
P1
46.6%
33.6%
P2
48.5%
38.3%
P3
43.2%
37.0%
Final 5 min
41.0%
39.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barkov
44.0%▼
47.5%
46.1%
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
36.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2015 | 3 | 08:37 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Feb 2, 2015 | 2 | 09:38 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Feb 2, 2015 | 2 | 09:28 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Feb 2, 2015 | 1 | 03:52 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Feb 2, 2015 | 1 | 01:02 | Defensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Dec 31, 2014 | 2 | 14:48 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 31, 2014 | 2 | 11:27 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |