Scouting Report
Kevin Hayes holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pettersson 50.7% vs Hayes 56.3% (-6.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pettersson 67.5%
Defensive zone
Pettersson 52.8%
Neutral zone
Pettersson 57.9%
Result
Elias Pettersson favored at 62.6%
62.6%
37.4%
Pettersson
Hayes
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Pettersson
Hayes
Last 6: Pettersson 2-4 Hayes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Pettersson
Hayes
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
0
2
Pettersson
Hayes
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pettersson
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (698)
56.6% (724)
-6.2%
Power Play
63.2% (57)
57.0% (79)
+6.2%
Penalty Kill
40.9% (44)
65.7% (35)
-24.8%
On penalty kill, Hayes has a +24.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Pettersson is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (544).
Pettersson shoots left. Hayes is 57.9% vs left-shot opponents (587).
Home / Away
Pettersson
Hayes
Home
50.7% (420)
58.0% (405)
Away
50.9% (379)
56.1% (433)
By Period
Pettersson
Hayes
P1
48.0%
54.7%
P2
47.6%
55.7%
P3
57.5%
60.2%
OT
30.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
51.1%
58.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pettersson
50.0%▬
50.5%
50.8%
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
57.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2024 | 2 | 15:01 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Jan 24, 2024 | 1 | 03:51 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Jan 24, 2024 | 1 | 03:43 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 2 | 12:58 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Oct 27, 2023 | 3 | 05:39 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Oct 27, 2023 | 1 | 03:28 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |