Scouting Report
Evgeni Malkin holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Malkin on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Malkin wins 46.8% vs left-shot opponents — Hayes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 43.5% vs Hayes 38.0% (+6.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malkin 60.7%
Defensive zone
Malkin 71.6%
Neutral zone
Malkin 77.8%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 72.8%
72.8%
27.2%
Malkin
Hayes
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Malkin
Hayes
Last 8: Malkin 5-3 Hayes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Malkin
Hayes
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
1
0
Malkin
Hayes
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Malkin
3
2
Malkin
Hayes
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
43.1% (733)
37.1% (642)
+6.0%
Power Play
31.3% (16)
32.1% (28)
-0.8%
Penalty Kill
16.7% (6)
0.0% (11)
+16.7%
On penalty kill, Malkin has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Malkin is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (489).
Malkin shoots left. Hayes is 38.2% vs left-shot opponents (419).
Home / Away
Malkin
Hayes
Home
42.6% (338)
36.7% (354)
Away
42.7% (417)
35.8% (327)
By Period
Malkin
Hayes
P1
40.9%
33.6%
P2
45.3%
38.3%
P3
42.0%
37.0%
Final 5 min
46.1%
39.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
42.6%
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
36.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2015 | 2 | 18:09 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Jan 18, 2015 | 2 | 07:57 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Jan 18, 2015 | 2 | 05:34 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Jan 18, 2015 | 1 | 19:57 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Nov 15, 2014 | 3 | 01:04 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 15, 2014 | 1 | 11:56 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Nov 11, 2014 | 2 | 11:18 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Nov 11, 2014 | 1 | 06:24 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |