Scouting Report
Leon Draisaitl holds a +12.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Hayes on neutral-zone draws (57% H2H, 7 meetings). Hayes wins 37.6% vs left-shot opponents — Draisaitl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 38.9% vs Draisaitl 48.5% (-12.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayes 60.6%
Defensive zone
Hayes 50.7%
Neutral zone
Hayes 54.3%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 54.6%
54.6%
45.4%
Hayes
Draisaitl
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Hayes
Draisaitl
Last 9: Hayes 4-5 Draisaitl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
0
1
Hayes
Draisaitl
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
0
1
Hayes
Draisaitl
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hayes
4
3
Hayes
Draisaitl
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Draisaitl
Edge
Even Strength
35.4% (362)
48.9% (894)
-13.5%
Power Play
52.9% (17)
44.8% (134)
+8.1%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (2)
50.0% (10)
-50.0%
On penalty kill, Draisaitl has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Draisaitl shoots left. Hayes is 37.6% vs left-shot opponents (245).
Hayes shoots left. Draisaitl is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (693).
Home / Away
Hayes
Draisaitl
Home
36.8% (212)
52.5% (516)
Away
34.9% (169)
44.3% (522)
By Period
Hayes
Draisaitl
P1
40.3%
48.2%
P2
31.1%
48.2%
P3
34.2%
48.8%
OT
100.0%
45.0%
Final 5 min
29.6%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
36.0%
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 15, 2015 | 2 | 15:04 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 11, 2015 | 3 | 12:09 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 11, 2015 | 3 | 06:28 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 11, 2015 | 3 | 02:40 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 11, 2015 | 2 | 17:45 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 11, 2015 | 2 | 00:53 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 11, 2015 | 1 | 12:16 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 11, 2015 | 1 | 07:30 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 11, 2015 | 1 | 04:42 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |