Scouting Report
Leon Draisaitl holds a +21.1% FO% edge overall. Hayes wins 39.7% vs left-shot opponents — Draisaitl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 42.7% vs Draisaitl 56.4% (-21.1%)
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 73.9%
Defensive zone
Draisaitl 54.2%
Neutral zone
Draisaitl 54.3%
Result
Leon Draisaitl favored at 60.8%
39.2%
60.8%
Hayes
Draisaitl
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Draisaitl
Edge
Even Strength
31.9% (91)
55.9% (835)
-24.0%
Power Play
64.3% (14)
61.8% (228)
+2.5%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
50.0% (40)
-50.0%
On penalty kill, Draisaitl has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Draisaitl shoots left. Hayes is 39.7% vs left-shot opponents (58).
Hayes shoots left. Draisaitl is 56.5% vs left-shot opponents (708).
Home / Away
Hayes
Draisaitl
Home
30.6% (49)
55.1% (508)
Away
40.4% (57)
58.5% (595)
By Period
Hayes
Draisaitl
P1
22.9%
55.8%
P2
40.0%
55.7%
P3
44.4%
59.0%
Final 5 min
30.4%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
35.8%
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
56.9%