Scouting Report
Leon Draisaitl holds a +10.6% FO% edge overall. Hayes wins 42.5% vs left-shot opponents — Draisaitl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 43.8% vs Draisaitl 53.2% (-10.6%)
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 55.7%
Defensive zone
Draisaitl 54.1%
Neutral zone
Draisaitl 53.8%
Result
Leon Draisaitl favored at 54.6%
45.4%
54.6%
Hayes
Draisaitl
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Draisaitl
Edge
Even Strength
42.7% (478)
52.6% (1,124)
-9.9%
Power Play
42.9% (98)
58.4% (344)
-15.5%
Penalty Kill
45.2% (31)
49.2% (193)
-4.0%
On power play, Draisaitl has a +15.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Draisaitl shoots left. Hayes is 42.5% vs left-shot opponents (388).
Hayes shoots left. Draisaitl is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,042).
Home / Away
Hayes
Draisaitl
Home
43.5% (232)
55.5% (816)
Away
42.4% (375)
51.4% (845)
By Period
Hayes
Draisaitl
P1
40.1%
51.1%
P2
44.8%
51.6%
P3
42.4%
56.9%
OT
80.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
44.3%
53.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
42.8%
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
53.4%