Scouting Report
Leon Draisaitl holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Hayes on defensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 21 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 47.7% vs Draisaitl 53.3% (-5.6%)
H2H factor
Hayes leads 28-22 in 50 meetings
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 89.6%
Defensive zone
Draisaitl 68.1%
Neutral zone
Draisaitl 79.8%
Result
Leon Draisaitl favored at 76.9%
23.1%
76.9%
Hayes
Draisaitl
Head-to-Head Record
28
-
22
(50 meetings)
28
22
Hayes
Draisaitl
Last 10: Hayes 6-4 Draisaitl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
3
7
Hayes
Draisaitl
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
15
6
Hayes
Draisaitl
21 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hayes
10
9
Hayes
Draisaitl
19 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Draisaitl
Edge
Even Strength
47.5% (6,708)
52.9% (10,240)
-5.4%
Power Play
51.7% (702)
55.7% (2,827)
-4.0%
Penalty Kill
45.3% (697)
51.2% (977)
-5.9%
On penalty kill, Draisaitl has a +5.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Draisaitl shoots left. Hayes is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (5,132).
Hayes shoots left. Draisaitl is 51.6% vs left-shot opponents (8,946).
Home / Away
Hayes
Draisaitl
Home
48.1% (3,982)
54.6% (7,049)
Away
47.3% (4,125)
52.0% (6,995)
By Period
Hayes
Draisaitl
P1
47.5%
52.7%
P2
47.6%
53.6%
P3
47.9%
53.4%
OT
54.1%
57.0%
Final 5 min
49.3%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
47.7%
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
53.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 9, 2025 | 1 | 02:12 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Oct 25, 2024 | 1 | 16:42 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Apr 1, 2024 | 3 | 04:46 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Feb 28, 2024 | 3 | 03:57 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Feb 28, 2024 | 3 | 03:49 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Feb 28, 2024 | 1 | 19:55 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Feb 15, 2024 | 2 | 01:32 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Feb 15, 2024 | 2 | 01:09 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Oct 16, 2019 | 3 | 01:57 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 16, 2019 | 3 | 00:45 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 16, 2019 | 2 | 14:00 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 13, 2018 | 3 | 18:49 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Oct 13, 2018 | 3 | 13:33 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Oct 13, 2018 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Oct 13, 2018 | 2 | 18:14 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 13, 2018 | 2 | 16:20 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 13, 2018 | 2 | 10:33 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Oct 13, 2018 | 2 | 04:54 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Oct 13, 2018 | 1 | 04:14 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 13, 2018 | 1 | 00:45 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |