Scouting Report
Leon Draisaitl holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 51.7% vs Draisaitl 54.0% (-2.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 85.1%
Defensive zone
Draisaitl 60.3%
Neutral zone
Draisaitl 71.2%
Result
Leon Draisaitl favored at 72.7%
27.3%
72.7%
Hayes
Draisaitl
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Hayes
Draisaitl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
1
0
Hayes
Draisaitl
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
1
0
Hayes
Draisaitl
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Draisaitl
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (386)
53.7% (923)
-2.1%
Power Play
53.2% (47)
56.1% (244)
-2.9%
Penalty Kill
60.0% (20)
58.6% (29)
+1.4%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Draisaitl shoots left. Hayes is 49.7% vs left-shot opponents (300).
Hayes shoots left. Draisaitl is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (797).
Home / Away
Hayes
Draisaitl
Home
50.5% (200)
55.2% (636)
Away
53.4% (253)
53.4% (560)
By Period
Hayes
Draisaitl
P1
58.8%
50.8%
P2
49.3%
56.6%
P3
48.0%
54.0%
OT
66.7%
67.9%
Final 5 min
56.9%
53.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
52.1%
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 9, 2025 | 1 | 02:12 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Oct 25, 2024 | 1 | 16:42 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |