Scouting Report
Mark Scheifele holds a +7.9% FO% edge overall. Hayes wins 43.4% vs right-shot opponents — Scheifele shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 43.8% vs Scheifele 50.6% (-7.9%)
Offensive zone
Scheifele 71.8%
Defensive zone
Hayes 62.7%
Neutral zone
Scheifele 53.0%
Result
Mark Scheifele favored at 54.0%
46.0%
54.0%
Hayes
Scheifele
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Scheifele
Edge
Even Strength
42.7% (478)
49.3% (649)
-6.6%
Power Play
42.9% (98)
55.7% (183)
-12.8%
Penalty Kill
45.2% (31)
50.0% (16)
-4.8%
On power play, Scheifele has a +12.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Scheifele shoots right. Hayes is 43.4% vs right-shot opponents (219).
Hayes shoots left. Scheifele is 51.6% vs left-shot opponents (630).
Home / Away
Hayes
Scheifele
Home
43.5% (232)
52.3% (440)
Away
42.4% (375)
49.0% (408)
By Period
Hayes
Scheifele
P1
40.1%
52.3%
P2
44.8%
50.4%
P3
42.4%
51.4%
OT
80.0%
25.0%
Final 5 min
44.3%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
42.8%
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
50.7%