Scouting Report
Kevin Hayes holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 49.5% vs Scheifele 48.1% (+1.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Scheifele 61.4%
Defensive zone
Scheifele 52.3%
Neutral zone
Scheifele 50.6%
Result
Mark Scheifele favored at 52.3%
47.7%
52.3%
Hayes
Scheifele
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Hayes
Scheifele
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Hayes
Scheifele
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Scheifele
Edge
Even Strength
48.5% (557)
47.8% (960)
+0.7%
Power Play
53.3% (107)
47.0% (219)
+6.3%
Penalty Kill
58.3% (12)
60.7% (28)
-2.4%
On power play, Hayes has a +6.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Scheifele shoots right. Hayes is 49.8% vs right-shot opponents (237).
Hayes shoots left. Scheifele is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (833).
Home / Away
Hayes
Scheifele
Home
50.8% (313)
50.7% (611)
Away
48.2% (363)
45.1% (596)
By Period
Hayes
Scheifele
P1
52.3%
51.4%
P2
47.7%
47.3%
P3
48.4%
45.0%
OT
50.0%
53.8%
Final 5 min
50.9%
44.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
49.4%
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
48.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 28, 2023 | 1 | 10:52 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Jan 22, 2023 | 2 | 09:21 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |