Scouting Report
Mark Scheifele holds a +11.1% FO% edge overall. Hayes wins 31.3% vs right-shot opponents — Scheifele shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 42.7% vs Scheifele 47.2% (-11.1%)
Offensive zone
Scheifele 73.1%
Defensive zone
Hayes 55.8%
Neutral zone
Hayes 54.5%
Result
Mark Scheifele favored at 54.3%
45.7%
54.3%
Hayes
Scheifele
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Scheifele
Edge
Even Strength
31.9% (91)
46.5% (878)
-14.6%
Power Play
64.3% (14)
48.3% (174)
+16.0%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
50.0% (54)
-50.0%
On penalty kill, Scheifele has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Scheifele shoots right. Hayes is 31.3% vs right-shot opponents (48).
Hayes shoots left. Scheifele is 48.1% vs left-shot opponents (860).
Home / Away
Hayes
Scheifele
Home
30.6% (49)
46.2% (571)
Away
40.4% (57)
47.7% (535)
By Period
Hayes
Scheifele
P1
22.9%
51.9%
P2
40.0%
45.6%
P3
44.4%
43.9%
Final 5 min
30.4%
47.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
35.8%
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
46.9%