Scouting Report
Kevin Hayes holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Hayes wins 56.9% vs right-shot opponents — Scheifele shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 51.7% vs Scheifele 49.5% (+2.7%)
Offensive zone
Scheifele 70.9%
Defensive zone
Hayes 67.1%
Neutral zone
Hayes 50.7%
Result
Mark Scheifele favored at 51.0%
49.0%
51.0%
Hayes
Scheifele
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Scheifele
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (386)
48.7% (981)
+2.9%
Power Play
53.2% (47)
53.2% (250)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
60.0% (20)
43.2% (37)
+16.8%
On penalty kill, Hayes has a +16.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Scheifele shoots right. Hayes is 56.9% vs right-shot opponents (153).
Hayes shoots left. Scheifele is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (925).
Home / Away
Hayes
Scheifele
Home
50.5% (200)
50.0% (672)
Away
53.4% (253)
48.8% (596)
By Period
Hayes
Scheifele
P1
58.8%
51.4%
P2
49.3%
45.1%
P3
48.0%
51.9%
OT
66.7%
58.3%
Final 5 min
56.9%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
52.1%
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
49.4%