Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +11.3% FO% edge overall. Hayes wins 42.5% vs left-shot opponents — Duchene shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 43.8% vs Duchene 52.8% (-11.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Duchene 71.4%
Defensive zone
Hayes 78.0%
Neutral zone
Hayes 58.5%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 71.4%
28.6%
71.4%
Hayes
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Hayes
Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
0
1
Hayes
Duchene
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
42.7% (478)
46.9% (162)
-4.2%
Power Play
42.9% (98)
73.2% (56)
-30.3%
Penalty Kill
45.2% (31)
100.0% (2)
-54.8%
On penalty kill, Duchene has a +54.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Hayes is 42.5% vs left-shot opponents (388).
Hayes shoots left. Duchene is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (115).
Home / Away
Hayes
Duchene
Home
43.5% (232)
58.4% (125)
Away
42.4% (375)
48.4% (95)
By Period
Hayes
Duchene
P1
40.1%
56.9%
P2
44.8%
52.5%
P3
42.4%
51.9%
OT
80.0%
80.0%
Final 5 min
44.3%
52.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
42.8%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
54.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2022 | 3 | 17:48 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |