Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.1% vs 52.4%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 51.7% vs Duchene 52.1% (-0.3%)
Offensive zone
Duchene 50.6%
Defensive zone
Duchene 51.7%
Neutral zone
Hayes 53.1%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 50.3%
50.3%
49.7%
Hayes
Duchene
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (386)
53.0% (723)
-1.4%
Power Play
53.2% (47)
49.5% (101)
+3.7%
Penalty Kill
60.0% (20)
43.8% (16)
+16.2%
On penalty kill, Hayes has a +16.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Hayes is 49.7% vs left-shot opponents (300).
Hayes shoots left. Duchene is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (517).
Home / Away
Hayes
Duchene
Home
50.5% (200)
54.9% (408)
Away
53.4% (253)
50.0% (432)
By Period
Hayes
Duchene
P1
58.8%
52.5%
P2
49.3%
51.7%
P3
48.0%
53.6%
OT
66.7%
33.3%
Final 5 min
56.9%
53.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
52.1%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
52.4%