Scouting Report
Michael McCarron holds a +11.6% FO% edge overall. Hayes wins 43.4% vs right-shot opponents — McCarron shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 43.8% vs McCarron 53.4% (-11.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayes 68.6%
Defensive zone
McCarron 58.4%
Neutral zone
Hayes 53.1%
Result
Michael McCarron favored at 50.7%
49.3%
50.7%
Hayes
McCarron
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Hayes
McCarron
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: McCarron
0
1
Hayes
McCarron
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Hayes
McCarron
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
McCarron
Edge
Even Strength
42.7% (478)
57.5% (308)
-14.8%
Power Play
42.9% (98)
50.0% (2)
-7.1%
Penalty Kill
45.2% (31)
32.6% (43)
+12.6%
On even strength, McCarron has a +14.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McCarron shoots right. Hayes is 43.4% vs right-shot opponents (219).
Hayes shoots left. McCarron is 52.5% vs left-shot opponents (223).
Home / Away
Hayes
McCarron
Home
43.5% (232)
48.3% (147)
Away
42.4% (375)
58.7% (206)
By Period
Hayes
McCarron
P1
40.1%
53.4%
P2
44.8%
59.5%
P3
42.4%
50.0%
Final 5 min
44.3%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
42.8%
McCarron
48.0%▬
48.5%
54.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2022 | 2 | 02:23 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 17, 2022 | 2 | 19:57 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Mar 17, 2022 | 2 | 19:39 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |