Kevin Hayes vs Michael McCarron
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Michael McCarron holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Look for McCarron on defensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). Hayes wins 46.3% vs right-shot opponents — McCarron shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 47.7% vs McCarron 52.7% (-5.1%)
H2H factor
McCarron leads 14-7 in 21 meetings
Offensive zone
Hayes 88.8%
Defensive zone
Hayes 59.0%
Neutral zone
Hayes 71.6%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 70.7%
70.7%
29.3%
Hayes
McCarron
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
14
(21 meetings)
7
14
Hayes
McCarron
Last 10: Hayes 2-8 McCarron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Hayes
McCarron
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McCarron
1
6
Hayes
McCarron
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McCarron
4
6
Hayes
McCarron
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
McCarron
Edge
Even Strength
47.5% (6,708)
53.4% (2,901)
-5.9%
Power Play
51.7% (702)
45.3% (86)
+6.4%
Penalty Kill
45.3% (697)
50.5% (463)
-5.2%
On power play, Hayes has a +6.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McCarron shoots right. Hayes is 46.3% vs right-shot opponents (2,975).
Hayes shoots left. McCarron is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (2,403).
Home / Away
Hayes
McCarron
Home
48.1% (3,982)
52.3% (1,696)
Away
47.3% (4,125)
53.3% (1,754)
By Period
Hayes
McCarron
P1
47.5%
53.9%
P2
47.6%
52.5%
P3
47.9%
52.0%
OT
54.1%
33.3%
Final 5 min
49.3%
50.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
47.7%
McCarron
48.0%▬
48.5%
52.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 16, 2025 | 1 | 13:58 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Nov 16, 2025 | 1 | 13:54 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Nov 16, 2025 | 1 | 07:34 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Nov 14, 2025 | 3 | 08:54 | Offensive | Michael McCarron |
| Nov 14, 2025 | 2 | 10:38 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Nov 14, 2025 | 1 | 02:19 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Feb 1, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Feb 1, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Apr 4, 2024 | 3 | 18:16 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Feb 17, 2024 | 2 | 06:51 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Feb 17, 2024 | 1 | 19:05 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Feb 17, 2024 | 1 | 16:31 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Feb 17, 2024 | 1 | 04:11 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 2 | 06:00 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 2 | 02:06 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 27, 2022 | 2 | 02:23 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 17, 2022 | 2 | 19:57 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Mar 17, 2022 | 2 | 19:39 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Jan 14, 2017 | 2 | 13:03 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Jan 14, 2017 | 2 | 12:56 | Offensive | Michael McCarron |