Scouting Report
Michael McCarron holds a +10.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 49.5% vs McCarron 54.9% (-10.0%)
Offensive zone
Hayes 77.2%
Defensive zone
McCarron 74.0%
Neutral zone
Hayes 61.0%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 54.7%
54.7%
45.3%
Hayes
McCarron
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
McCarron
Edge
Even Strength
48.5% (557)
62.8% (86)
-14.3%
Power Play
53.3% (107)
50.0% (2)
+3.3%
Penalty Kill
58.3% (12)
44.4% (18)
+13.9%
On even strength, McCarron has a +14.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McCarron shoots right. Hayes is 49.8% vs right-shot opponents (237).
Hayes shoots left. McCarron is 58.9% vs left-shot opponents (73).
Home / Away
Hayes
McCarron
Home
50.8% (313)
59.5% (42)
Away
48.2% (363)
59.4% (64)
By Period
Hayes
McCarron
P1
52.3%
71.0%
P2
47.7%
48.7%
P3
48.4%
61.1%
Final 5 min
50.9%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
49.4%
McCarron
48.0%▬
48.5%
59.4%