Scouting Report
Nazem Kadri holds a +11.6% FO% edge overall. Hayes wins 39.7% vs left-shot opponents — Kadri shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 42.7% vs Kadri 47.6% (-11.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kadri 76.4%
Defensive zone
Kadri 65.6%
Neutral zone
Kadri 59.8%
Result
Nazem Kadri favored at 59.8%
40.2%
59.8%
Hayes
Kadri
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Hayes
Kadri
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hayes
1
0
Hayes
Kadri
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Kadri
Edge
Even Strength
31.9% (91)
47.4% (821)
-15.5%
Power Play
64.3% (14)
48.8% (86)
+15.5%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
38.5% (13)
-38.5%
On penalty kill, Kadri has a +38.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kadri shoots left. Hayes is 39.7% vs left-shot opponents (58).
Hayes shoots left. Kadri is 44.2% vs left-shot opponents (595).
Home / Away
Hayes
Kadri
Home
30.6% (49)
46.6% (487)
Away
40.4% (57)
48.3% (433)
By Period
Hayes
Kadri
P1
22.9%
52.7%
P2
40.0%
50.2%
P3
44.4%
40.2%
Final 5 min
30.4%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
35.8%
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
47.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2026 | 3 | 12:57 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |