Scouting Report
Kevin Hayes holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Hayes on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 49.5% vs Kadri 47.7% (+1.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kadri 51.0%
Defensive zone
Hayes 60.2%
Neutral zone
Hayes 61.7%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 58.5%
58.5%
41.5%
Hayes
Kadri
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Hayes
Kadri
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
1
0
Hayes
Kadri
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hayes
2
1
Hayes
Kadri
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Kadri
Edge
Even Strength
48.5% (557)
46.2% (1,005)
+2.3%
Power Play
53.3% (107)
57.3% (199)
-4.0%
Penalty Kill
58.3% (12)
26.7% (30)
+31.6%
On penalty kill, Hayes has a +31.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kadri shoots left. Hayes is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (439).
Hayes shoots left. Kadri is 44.0% vs left-shot opponents (793).
Home / Away
Hayes
Kadri
Home
50.8% (313)
47.4% (641)
Away
48.2% (363)
47.6% (593)
By Period
Hayes
Kadri
P1
52.3%
46.9%
P2
47.7%
49.5%
P3
48.4%
46.2%
OT
50.0%
42.9%
Final 5 min
50.9%
46.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
49.4%
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
47.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 21, 2022 | 3 | 11:16 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 3 | 08:03 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 2 | 15:44 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |