Scouting Report
Kevin Hayes holds a +8.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Hayes on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Hayes wins 57.9% vs left-shot opponents — Kadri shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 56.3% vs Kadri 49.0% (+8.1%)
H2H factor
Hayes leads 8-2 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Hayes 60.5%
Defensive zone
Hayes 95.2%
Neutral zone
Hayes 86.9%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 76.2%
76.2%
23.8%
Hayes
Kadri
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
2
(10 meetings)
8
2
Hayes
Kadri
Last 10: Hayes 8-2 Kadri
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
3
2
Hayes
Kadri
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
3
0
Hayes
Kadri
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hayes
2
0
Hayes
Kadri
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Kadri
Edge
Even Strength
56.6% (724)
47.7% (975)
+8.9%
Power Play
57.0% (79)
54.0% (226)
+3.0%
Penalty Kill
65.7% (35)
55.6% (9)
+10.1%
On penalty kill, Hayes has a +10.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kadri shoots left. Hayes is 57.9% vs left-shot opponents (587).
Hayes shoots left. Kadri is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (794).
Home / Away
Hayes
Kadri
Home
58.0% (405)
48.3% (621)
Away
56.1% (433)
49.6% (589)
By Period
Hayes
Kadri
P1
54.7%
48.1%
P2
55.7%
48.9%
P3
60.2%
49.8%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
58.9%
48.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
57.0%
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
48.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2024 | 3 | 01:11 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 28, 2024 | 2 | 04:37 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 28, 2024 | 1 | 14:15 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 28, 2024 | 1 | 08:05 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Jan 23, 2024 | 3 | 01:15 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Jan 23, 2024 | 1 | 01:22 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Jan 23, 2024 | 1 | 01:17 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 3 | 06:37 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 2 | 13:04 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 1 | 19:18 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |