Scouting Report
Nazem Kadri holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Kadri on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Hayes wins 42.5% vs left-shot opponents — Kadri shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 43.8% vs Kadri 49.7% (-6.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayes 60.3%
Defensive zone
Hayes 66.0%
Neutral zone
Hayes 59.6%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 61.9%
61.9%
38.1%
Hayes
Kadri
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Hayes
Kadri
Last 9: Hayes 3-6 Kadri
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
0
2
Hayes
Kadri
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
2
1
Hayes
Kadri
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kadri
1
3
Hayes
Kadri
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Kadri
Edge
Even Strength
42.7% (478)
50.2% (849)
-7.5%
Power Play
42.9% (98)
50.6% (235)
-7.7%
Penalty Kill
45.2% (31)
43.0% (93)
+2.2%
On power play, Kadri has a +7.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kadri shoots left. Hayes is 42.5% vs left-shot opponents (388).
Hayes shoots left. Kadri is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (689).
Home / Away
Hayes
Kadri
Home
43.5% (232)
48.5% (557)
Away
42.4% (375)
50.8% (620)
By Period
Hayes
Kadri
P1
40.1%
49.5%
P2
44.8%
51.3%
P3
42.4%
47.8%
OT
80.0%
63.2%
Final 5 min
44.3%
49.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
42.8%
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2022 | 3 | 11:28 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Mar 25, 2022 | 2 | 04:52 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 25, 2022 | 1 | 07:05 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 6, 2021 | 3 | 12:40 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Dec 6, 2021 | 2 | 12:09 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 6, 2021 | 2 | 04:40 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Dec 6, 2021 | 2 | 01:42 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Dec 6, 2021 | 1 | 03:24 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Dec 6, 2021 | 1 | 01:09 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |