Scouting Report
Kevin Hayes holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 51.7% vs Kadri 46.5% (+5.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kadri 67.0%
Defensive zone
Kadri 62.2%
Neutral zone
Kadri 59.5%
Result
Nazem Kadri favored at 63.9%
36.1%
63.9%
Hayes
Kadri
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Hayes
Kadri
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Hayes
Kadri
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
0
1
Hayes
Kadri
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kadri
0
1
Hayes
Kadri
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Kadri
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (386)
45.7% (1,295)
+5.9%
Power Play
53.2% (47)
52.7% (146)
+0.5%
Penalty Kill
60.0% (20)
34.8% (23)
+25.2%
On penalty kill, Hayes has a +25.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kadri shoots left. Hayes is 49.7% vs left-shot opponents (300).
Hayes shoots left. Kadri is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,030).
Home / Away
Hayes
Kadri
Home
50.5% (200)
46.5% (725)
Away
53.4% (253)
46.0% (739)
By Period
Hayes
Kadri
P1
58.8%
47.2%
P2
49.3%
44.9%
P3
48.0%
46.3%
OT
66.7%
51.4%
Final 5 min
56.9%
46.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
52.1%
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 30, 2024 | 3 | 04:10 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 1 | 16:10 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 3 | 13:06 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 2 | 11:00 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |