Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (47.7% vs 48.6%). Look for Kadri on offensive-zone draws (57% H2H, 21 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 47.7% vs Kadri 48.7% (-0.9%)
H2H factor
Kadri leads 30-26 in 56 meetings
Offensive zone
Kadri 56.2%
Defensive zone
Hayes 65.0%
Neutral zone
Hayes 52.6%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 52.9%
52.9%
47.1%
Hayes
Kadri
Head-to-Head Record
26
-
30
(56 meetings)
26
30
Hayes
Kadri
Last 10: Hayes 7-3 Kadri
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
9
12
Hayes
Kadri
21 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
7
9
Hayes
Kadri
16 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hayes
10
9
Hayes
Kadri
19 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Kadri
Edge
Even Strength
47.5% (6,708)
48.2% (12,510)
-0.7%
Power Play
51.7% (702)
53.0% (1,892)
-1.3%
Penalty Kill
45.3% (697)
41.0% (293)
+4.3%
On penalty kill, Hayes has a +4.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kadri shoots left. Hayes is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (5,132).
Hayes shoots left. Kadri is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (9,379).
Home / Away
Hayes
Kadri
Home
48.1% (3,982)
49.1% (7,467)
Away
47.3% (4,125)
48.1% (7,231)
By Period
Hayes
Kadri
P1
47.5%
49.2%
P2
47.6%
48.8%
P3
47.9%
48.0%
OT
54.1%
49.0%
Final 5 min
49.3%
48.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
47.7%
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2026 | 3 | 12:57 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 3 | 04:10 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 1 | 16:10 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 3 | 13:06 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 2 | 11:00 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Mar 28, 2024 | 3 | 01:11 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 28, 2024 | 2 | 04:37 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 28, 2024 | 1 | 14:15 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 28, 2024 | 1 | 08:05 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Jan 23, 2024 | 3 | 01:15 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Jan 23, 2024 | 1 | 01:22 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Jan 23, 2024 | 1 | 01:17 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 3 | 06:37 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 2 | 13:04 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 1 | 19:18 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 3 | 11:16 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 3 | 08:03 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 2 | 15:44 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 25, 2022 | 3 | 11:28 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |