Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.5% vs 50.0%). Look for Kadri on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 50.5% vs Kadri 50.0% (+0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kadri 61.6%
Defensive zone
Hayes 62.5%
Neutral zone
Kadri 51.8%
Result
Nazem Kadri favored at 57.4%
42.6%
57.4%
Hayes
Kadri
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Hayes
Kadri
Last 8: Hayes 2-6 Kadri
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
2
4
Hayes
Kadri
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
0
1
Hayes
Kadri
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kadri
0
1
Hayes
Kadri
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Kadri
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (850)
50.3% (1,002)
+0.1%
Power Play
56.4% (39)
51.4% (72)
+5.0%
Penalty Kill
50.2% (223)
26.3% (19)
+23.9%
On penalty kill, Hayes has a +23.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kadri shoots left. Hayes is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (703).
Hayes shoots left. Kadri is 50.6% vs left-shot opponents (710).
Home / Away
Hayes
Kadri
Home
50.0% (586)
52.3% (568)
Away
51.1% (526)
47.4% (525)
By Period
Hayes
Kadri
P1
52.3%
51.5%
P2
52.3%
49.4%
P3
47.3%
49.2%
OT
50.0%
42.9%
Final 5 min
51.8%
45.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
50.5%
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2018 | 3 | 00:44 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Feb 1, 2018 | 2 | 03:05 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Feb 1, 2018 | 1 | 18:14 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Dec 23, 2017 | 3 | 16:57 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Dec 23, 2017 | 3 | 08:33 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Dec 23, 2017 | 3 | 07:57 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 23, 2017 | 2 | 19:36 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Dec 23, 2017 | 2 | 17:52 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |