Scouting Report
Nazem Kadri holds a +6.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Hayes on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Hayes wins 54.4% vs left-shot opponents — Kadri shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 50.2% vs Kadri 55.9% (-6.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kadri 85.4%
Defensive zone
Kadri 55.2%
Neutral zone
Kadri 63.6%
Result
Nazem Kadri favored at 68.1%
31.9%
68.1%
Hayes
Kadri
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Hayes
Kadri
Last 9: Hayes 6-3 Kadri
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
2
1
Hayes
Kadri
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
1
2
Hayes
Kadri
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hayes
3
0
Hayes
Kadri
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Kadri
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (672)
55.0% (533)
-3.7%
Power Play
50.0% (78)
63.0% (162)
-13.0%
Penalty Kill
40.8% (76)
54.5% (22)
-13.7%
On penalty kill, Kadri has a +13.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kadri shoots left. Hayes is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (526).
Hayes shoots left. Kadri is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (435).
Home / Away
Hayes
Kadri
Home
52.0% (404)
62.2% (349)
Away
48.6% (422)
51.6% (368)
By Period
Hayes
Kadri
P1
50.7%
57.3%
P2
50.2%
56.5%
P3
49.8%
56.9%
OT
50.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
52.9%
60.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
50.2%
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
56.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2020 | 3 | 11:28 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Feb 1, 2020 | 3 | 07:32 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Feb 1, 2020 | 2 | 12:10 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Dec 11, 2019 | 3 | 04:36 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Dec 11, 2019 | 3 | 02:31 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 11, 2019 | 2 | 04:52 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 11, 2019 | 2 | 00:55 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 11, 2019 | 1 | 15:24 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 11, 2019 | 1 | 15:19 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |