Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (47.7% vs 48.6%). Look for Foligno on offensive-zone draws (65% H2H, 17 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 47.7% vs Foligno 48.6% (-0.9%)
H2H factor
Foligno leads 18-15 in 33 meetings
Offensive zone
Foligno 54.8%
Defensive zone
Hayes 64.8%
Neutral zone
Hayes 53.2%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 51.9%
51.9%
48.1%
Hayes
Foligno
Head-to-Head Record
15
-
18
(33 meetings)
15
18
Hayes
Foligno
Last 10: Hayes 6-4 Foligno
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Foligno
6
11
Hayes
Foligno
17 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
6
2
Hayes
Foligno
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Foligno
3
5
Hayes
Foligno
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
47.5% (6,708)
48.3% (2,810)
-0.8%
Power Play
51.7% (702)
52.3% (730)
-0.6%
Penalty Kill
45.3% (697)
44.0% (455)
+1.3%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Hayes is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (5,132).
Hayes shoots left. Foligno is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (2,496).
Home / Away
Hayes
Foligno
Home
48.1% (3,982)
49.9% (2,013)
Away
47.3% (4,125)
47.2% (1,984)
By Period
Hayes
Foligno
P1
47.5%
47.6%
P2
47.6%
50.4%
P3
47.9%
48.3%
OT
54.1%
29.7%
Final 5 min
49.3%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
47.7%
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 9, 2023 | 1 | 18:44 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Nov 26, 2023 | 3 | 12:41 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Feb 20, 2020 | OT | 03:17 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Feb 20, 2020 | OT | 01:05 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Feb 18, 2020 | 3 | 11:32 | Neutral | Nick Foligno |
| Nov 27, 2019 | 2 | 06:25 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Oct 26, 2019 | 3 | 14:03 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Oct 26, 2019 | 3 | 09:57 | Neutral | Nick Foligno |
| Oct 26, 2019 | 2 | 19:25 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Oct 26, 2019 | 2 | 16:27 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 10, 2018 | 1 | 17:58 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Mar 20, 2018 | 3 | 18:08 | Neutral | Nick Foligno |
| Nov 17, 2017 | 3 | 19:41 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 17, 2017 | 3 | 16:44 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 17, 2017 | 3 | 06:55 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Nov 17, 2017 | 3 | 05:43 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 17, 2017 | 2 | 18:03 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 17, 2017 | 1 | 17:45 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Nov 17, 2017 | 1 | 09:55 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Nov 17, 2017 | 1 | 06:39 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |