Scouting Report
Nick Foligno holds a +11.2% FO% edge overall. Hayes wins 42.3% vs left-shot opponents — Foligno shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 44.1% vs Foligno 49.4% (-11.2%)
Offensive zone
Hayes 59.9%
Defensive zone
Foligno 72.9%
Neutral zone
Hayes 54.9%
Result
Nick Foligno favored at 52.7%
47.3%
52.7%
Hayes
Foligno
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
33.3% (81)
49.3% (215)
-16.0%
Power Play
64.3% (14)
57.1% (35)
+7.2%
On even strength, Foligno has a +16.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Hayes is 42.3% vs left-shot opponents (52).
Hayes shoots left. Foligno is 54.0% vs left-shot opponents (163).
Home / Away
Hayes
Foligno
Home
30.6% (49)
47.5% (158)
Away
45.7% (46)
51.1% (135)
By Period
Hayes
Foligno
P1
24.2%
42.7%
P2
43.8%
51.4%
P3
46.7%
51.9%
Final 5 min
31.8%
55.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
32.0%▼
44.5%
37.9%
Foligno
40.0%▼
51.0%
49.1%