Scouting Report
Kevin Hayes holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 51.7% vs Foligno 48.6% (+3.7%)
Offensive zone
Hayes 56.0%
Defensive zone
Foligno 65.7%
Neutral zone
Foligno 50.2%
Result
Nick Foligno favored at 53.3%
46.7%
53.3%
Hayes
Foligno
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (386)
48.7% (495)
+2.9%
Power Play
53.2% (47)
56.9% (65)
-3.7%
Penalty Kill
60.0% (20)
43.8% (144)
+16.2%
On penalty kill, Hayes has a +16.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Hayes is 49.7% vs left-shot opponents (300).
Hayes shoots left. Foligno is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (506).
Home / Away
Hayes
Foligno
Home
50.5% (200)
49.6% (359)
Away
53.4% (253)
47.2% (345)
By Period
Hayes
Foligno
P1
58.8%
46.7%
P2
49.3%
52.7%
P3
48.0%
46.7%
OT
66.7%
33.3%
Final 5 min
56.9%
55.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
52.1%
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
48.4%