Scouting Report
Nick Foligno holds a +13.9% FO% edge overall. Hayes wins 39.7% vs left-shot opponents — Foligno shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 42.7% vs Foligno 49.8% (-13.9%)
Offensive zone
Hayes 58.0%
Defensive zone
Foligno 74.1%
Neutral zone
Hayes 51.5%
Result
Nick Foligno favored at 54.8%
45.2%
54.8%
Hayes
Foligno
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
31.9% (91)
49.0% (261)
-17.1%
Power Play
64.3% (14)
57.1% (42)
+7.2%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
47.1% (51)
-47.1%
On penalty kill, Foligno has a +47.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Hayes is 39.7% vs left-shot opponents (58).
Hayes shoots left. Foligno is 54.2% vs left-shot opponents (192).
Home / Away
Hayes
Foligno
Home
30.6% (49)
48.9% (178)
Away
40.4% (57)
50.6% (176)
By Period
Hayes
Foligno
P1
22.9%
40.4%
P2
40.0%
55.8%
P3
44.4%
51.2%
Final 5 min
30.4%
53.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
35.8%
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
49.7%