Scouting Report
Nick Foligno holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 49.5% vs Foligno 52.3% (-6.2%)
Offensive zone
Hayes 59.6%
Defensive zone
Foligno 65.8%
Neutral zone
Hayes 64.0%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 52.6%
52.6%
47.4%
Hayes
Foligno
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
48.5% (557)
52.0% (50)
-3.5%
Power Play
53.3% (107)
66.7% (21)
-13.4%
Penalty Kill
58.3% (12)
0.0% (1)
+58.3%
On penalty kill, Hayes has a +58.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Hayes is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (439).
Hayes shoots left. Foligno is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (40).
Home / Away
Hayes
Foligno
Home
50.8% (313)
51.2% (41)
Away
48.2% (363)
61.3% (31)
By Period
Hayes
Foligno
P1
52.3%
55.6%
P2
47.7%
48.0%
P3
48.4%
65.0%
Final 5 min
50.9%
81.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
49.4%
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
55.6%