Scouting Report
Nick Foligno holds a +13.6% FO% edge overall. Hayes wins 42.5% vs left-shot opponents — Foligno shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 43.8% vs Foligno 51.8% (-13.6%)
Offensive zone
Foligno 55.8%
Defensive zone
Hayes 52.6%
Neutral zone
Hayes 55.7%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 50.8%
50.8%
49.2%
Hayes
Foligno
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
42.7% (478)
58.1% (31)
-15.4%
Power Play
42.9% (98)
50.0% (2)
-7.1%
Penalty Kill
45.2% (31)
50.0% (6)
-4.8%
On even strength, Foligno has a +15.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Hayes is 42.5% vs left-shot opponents (388).
Hayes shoots left. Foligno is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (20).
Home / Away
Hayes
Foligno
Home
43.5% (232)
56.3% (16)
Away
42.4% (375)
56.5% (23)
By Period
Hayes
Foligno
P1
40.1%
50.0%
P2
44.8%
66.7%
P3
42.4%
54.5%
Final 5 min
44.3%
100.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
42.8%
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
56.4%