Scouting Report
Kevin Hayes holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Hayes wins 57.9% vs left-shot opponents — Foligno shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 56.3% vs Foligno 52.0% (+4.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Foligno 70.3%
Defensive zone
Hayes 74.4%
Neutral zone
Foligno 51.2%
Result
Nick Foligno favored at 70.3%
29.7%
70.3%
Hayes
Foligno
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Hayes
Foligno
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Hayes
Foligno
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
56.6% (724)
53.4% (249)
+3.2%
Power Play
57.0% (79)
53.2% (154)
+3.8%
Penalty Kill
65.7% (35)
40.6% (32)
+25.1%
On penalty kill, Hayes has a +25.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Hayes is 57.9% vs left-shot opponents (587).
Hayes shoots left. Foligno is 56.4% vs left-shot opponents (243).
Home / Away
Hayes
Foligno
Home
58.0% (405)
57.3% (225)
Away
56.1% (433)
47.1% (210)
By Period
Hayes
Foligno
P1
54.7%
53.0%
P2
55.7%
51.8%
P3
60.2%
52.6%
Final 5 min
58.9%
53.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
32.0%▼
44.5%
57.0%
Foligno
40.0%▼
51.0%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 9, 2023 | 1 | 18:44 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Nov 26, 2023 | 3 | 12:41 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |