Scouting Report
Nick Foligno holds a +11.2% FO% edge overall. Hayes wins 38.2% vs left-shot opponents — Foligno shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 38.0% vs Foligno 48.2% (-11.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayes 63.0%
Defensive zone
Foligno 62.5%
Neutral zone
Foligno 55.8%
Result
Nick Foligno favored at 53.8%
46.2%
53.8%
Hayes
Foligno
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Hayes
Foligno
Last 6: Hayes 3-3 Foligno
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
1
0
Hayes
Foligno
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Foligno
0
1
Hayes
Foligno
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Hayes
Foligno
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
37.1% (642)
47.1% (227)
-10.0%
Power Play
32.1% (28)
46.7% (15)
-14.6%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (11)
52.4% (21)
-52.4%
On penalty kill, Foligno has a +52.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Hayes is 38.2% vs left-shot opponents (419).
Hayes shoots left. Foligno is 49.7% vs left-shot opponents (169).
Home / Away
Hayes
Foligno
Home
36.7% (354)
45.7% (116)
Away
35.8% (327)
49.0% (147)
By Period
Hayes
Foligno
P1
33.6%
53.8%
P2
38.3%
50.0%
P3
37.0%
40.4%
Final 5 min
39.0%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
36.3%
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
47.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2015 | 3 | 03:33 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Feb 22, 2015 | 3 | 01:10 | Neutral | Nick Foligno |
| Feb 22, 2015 | 3 | 01:02 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Feb 22, 2015 | 2 | 04:37 | Neutral | Nick Foligno |
| Feb 22, 2015 | 2 | 01:24 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Feb 22, 2015 | 1 | 16:00 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |