Scouting Report
Kevin Hayes holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Foligno on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 10 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 50.5% vs Foligno 46.4% (+4.6%)
H2H factor
Foligno leads 10-6 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Foligno 79.8%
Defensive zone
Hayes 65.3%
Neutral zone
Foligno 55.0%
Result
Nick Foligno favored at 65.4%
34.6%
65.4%
Hayes
Foligno
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
10
(16 meetings)
6
10
Hayes
Foligno
Last 10: Hayes 4-6 Foligno
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Foligno
2
8
Hayes
Foligno
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
3
1
Hayes
Foligno
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Hayes
Foligno
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (850)
46.3% (566)
+4.1%
Power Play
56.4% (39)
43.4% (106)
+13.0%
Penalty Kill
50.2% (223)
46.4% (69)
+3.8%
On power play, Hayes has a +13.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Hayes is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (703).
Hayes shoots left. Foligno is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (447).
Home / Away
Hayes
Foligno
Home
50.0% (586)
48.9% (364)
Away
51.1% (526)
43.0% (377)
By Period
Hayes
Foligno
P1
52.3%
48.7%
P2
52.3%
46.9%
P3
47.3%
44.0%
OT
50.0%
20.0%
Final 5 min
51.8%
50.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
50.5%
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
45.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2018 | 3 | 18:08 | Neutral | Nick Foligno |
| Nov 17, 2017 | 3 | 19:41 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 17, 2017 | 3 | 16:44 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 17, 2017 | 3 | 06:55 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Nov 17, 2017 | 3 | 05:43 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 17, 2017 | 2 | 18:03 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 17, 2017 | 1 | 17:45 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Nov 17, 2017 | 1 | 09:55 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Nov 17, 2017 | 1 | 06:39 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Nov 6, 2017 | 3 | 05:46 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Nov 6, 2017 | 3 | 01:10 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Nov 6, 2017 | 3 | 01:00 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Nov 6, 2017 | 2 | 07:41 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Nov 6, 2017 | 2 | 00:38 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Oct 13, 2017 | 2 | 17:38 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Oct 13, 2017 | 2 | 08:15 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |