Scouting Report
Nick Schmaltz holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Hayes wins 43.4% vs right-shot opponents — Schmaltz shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 43.8% vs Schmaltz 48.4% (-4.9%)
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 66.9%
Defensive zone
Hayes 67.0%
Neutral zone
Hayes 55.6%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 51.9%
51.9%
48.1%
Hayes
Schmaltz
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
42.7% (478)
42.9% (133)
-0.2%
Power Play
42.9% (98)
55.1% (89)
-12.2%
Penalty Kill
45.2% (31)
47.1% (17)
-1.9%
On power play, Schmaltz has a +12.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. Hayes is 43.4% vs right-shot opponents (219).
Hayes shoots left. Schmaltz is 47.8% vs left-shot opponents (178).
Home / Away
Hayes
Schmaltz
Home
43.5% (232)
41.6% (125)
Away
42.4% (375)
54.4% (114)
By Period
Hayes
Schmaltz
P1
40.1%
40.0%
P2
44.8%
59.5%
P3
42.4%
45.0%
OT
80.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
44.3%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
42.8%
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
47.7%