Scouting Report
Kevin Hayes holds a +9.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 49.5% vs Schmaltz 45.0% (+9.4%)
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 55.7%
Defensive zone
Hayes 57.5%
Neutral zone
Hayes 52.1%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 51.3%
51.3%
48.7%
Hayes
Schmaltz
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
48.5% (557)
37.7% (53)
+10.8%
Power Play
53.3% (107)
40.9% (44)
+12.4%
Penalty Kill
58.3% (12)
66.7% (3)
-8.4%
On power play, Hayes has a +12.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. Hayes is 49.8% vs right-shot opponents (237).
Hayes shoots left. Schmaltz is 40.3% vs left-shot opponents (77).
Home / Away
Hayes
Schmaltz
Home
50.8% (313)
34.7% (49)
Away
48.2% (363)
45.1% (51)
By Period
Hayes
Schmaltz
P1
52.3%
25.9%
P2
47.7%
46.2%
P3
48.4%
42.1%
OT
50.0%
46.7%
Final 5 min
50.9%
34.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
49.4%
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
40.0%