Scouting Report
Kevin Hayes holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Hayes wins 56.9% vs right-shot opponents — Schmaltz shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 51.7% vs Schmaltz 49.4% (+2.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 62.4%
Defensive zone
Hayes 70.0%
Neutral zone
Hayes 59.5%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 70.0%
70.0%
30.0%
Hayes
Schmaltz
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Hayes
Schmaltz
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
1
0
Hayes
Schmaltz
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (386)
48.1% (268)
+3.5%
Power Play
53.2% (47)
50.5% (91)
+2.7%
Penalty Kill
60.0% (20)
58.8% (17)
+1.2%
On even strength, Hayes has a +3.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. Hayes is 56.9% vs right-shot opponents (153).
Hayes shoots left. Schmaltz is 48.1% vs left-shot opponents (291).
Home / Away
Hayes
Schmaltz
Home
50.5% (200)
49.0% (206)
Away
53.4% (253)
49.4% (170)
By Period
Hayes
Schmaltz
P1
58.8%
53.6%
P2
49.3%
46.2%
P3
48.0%
50.4%
OT
66.7%
16.7%
Final 5 min
56.9%
39.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
52.1%
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
49.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 2025 | 2 | 15:12 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |