Scouting Report
Kevin Hayes holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Suzuki on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Hayes wins 43.0% vs right-shot opponents — Suzuki shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 50.2% vs Suzuki 46.8% (+3.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Suzuki 59.7%
Defensive zone
Suzuki 50.4%
Neutral zone
Suzuki 58.2%
Result
Nick Suzuki favored at 58.0%
42.0%
58.0%
Hayes
Suzuki
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
7
(8 meetings)
1
7
Hayes
Suzuki
Last 8: Hayes 1-7 Suzuki
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
0
4
Hayes
Suzuki
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
0
1
Hayes
Suzuki
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Suzuki
1
2
Hayes
Suzuki
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Suzuki
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (672)
46.6% (582)
+4.7%
Power Play
50.0% (78)
45.0% (60)
+5.0%
Penalty Kill
40.8% (76)
41.2% (17)
-0.4%
On power play, Hayes has a +5.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suzuki shoots right. Hayes is 43.0% vs right-shot opponents (300).
Hayes shoots left. Suzuki is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (427).
Home / Away
Hayes
Suzuki
Home
52.0% (404)
46.0% (350)
Away
48.6% (422)
46.6% (309)
By Period
Hayes
Suzuki
P1
50.7%
47.6%
P2
50.2%
45.7%
P3
49.8%
46.6%
OT
50.0%
22.2%
Final 5 min
52.9%
44.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
50.2%
Suzuki
62.0%▲
55.5%
46.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2020 | 3 | 05:35 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 16, 2020 | 3 | 00:43 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 16, 2020 | 2 | 19:19 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 16, 2020 | 1 | 16:47 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Jan 16, 2020 | 1 | 06:10 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 16, 2020 | 1 | 00:25 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 30, 2019 | 3 | 10:30 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 30, 2019 | 3 | 03:05 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |