Scouting Report
Kevin Hayes holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Hayes wins 55.0% vs right-shot opponents — Suzuki shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 56.3% vs Suzuki 52.4% (+4.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Suzuki 65.1%
Defensive zone
Hayes 62.4%
Neutral zone
Hayes 50.5%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 62.4%
62.4%
37.6%
Hayes
Suzuki
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Hayes
Suzuki
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
1
0
Hayes
Suzuki
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Suzuki
Edge
Even Strength
56.6% (724)
51.3% (1,096)
+5.3%
Power Play
57.0% (79)
59.9% (157)
-2.9%
Penalty Kill
65.7% (35)
56.9% (58)
+8.8%
On penalty kill, Hayes has a +8.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suzuki shoots right. Hayes is 55.0% vs right-shot opponents (251).
Hayes shoots left. Suzuki is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (961).
Home / Away
Hayes
Suzuki
Home
58.0% (405)
54.2% (638)
Away
56.1% (433)
51.0% (673)
By Period
Hayes
Suzuki
P1
54.7%
51.5%
P2
55.7%
53.3%
P3
60.2%
52.4%
OT
50.0%
58.3%
Final 5 min
58.9%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
57.0%
Suzuki
62.0%▲
55.5%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 11, 2024 | 2 | 13:02 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |