Scouting Report
Nick Suzuki holds a +6.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Suzuki on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Hayes wins 43.4% vs right-shot opponents — Suzuki shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 43.8% vs Suzuki 49.6% (-6.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayes 66.5%
Defensive zone
Hayes 67.6%
Neutral zone
Hayes 68.4%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 67.8%
67.8%
32.2%
Hayes
Suzuki
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Hayes
Suzuki
Last 9: Hayes 3-6 Suzuki
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
0
2
Hayes
Suzuki
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Hayes
Suzuki
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Suzuki
2
3
Hayes
Suzuki
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Suzuki
Edge
Even Strength
42.7% (478)
50.3% (1,075)
-7.6%
Power Play
42.9% (98)
49.3% (219)
-6.4%
Penalty Kill
45.2% (31)
43.1% (116)
+2.1%
On even strength, Suzuki has a +7.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suzuki shoots right. Hayes is 43.4% vs right-shot opponents (219).
Hayes shoots left. Suzuki is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,008).
Home / Away
Hayes
Suzuki
Home
43.5% (232)
53.6% (711)
Away
42.4% (375)
45.5% (699)
By Period
Hayes
Suzuki
P1
40.1%
48.5%
P2
44.8%
51.7%
P3
42.4%
49.0%
OT
80.0%
43.5%
Final 5 min
44.3%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
42.8%
Suzuki
62.0%▲
55.5%
49.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 21, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Apr 21, 2022 | 2 | 07:59 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Apr 21, 2022 | 1 | 09:17 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 13, 2022 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 13, 2022 | 2 | 19:48 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 13, 2022 | 1 | 11:03 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 16, 2021 | 2 | 06:36 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 16, 2021 | 1 | 11:34 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 16, 2021 | 1 | 05:20 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |