Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.1% vs 51.6%). Hayes wins 56.9% vs right-shot opponents — Suzuki shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 51.7% vs Suzuki 51.5% (+0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Suzuki 60.5%
Defensive zone
Hayes 66.8%
Neutral zone
Hayes 54.1%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 66.8%
66.8%
33.2%
Hayes
Suzuki
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Hayes
Suzuki
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
0
1
Hayes
Suzuki
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Suzuki
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (386)
52.4% (981)
-0.8%
Power Play
53.2% (47)
50.7% (304)
+2.5%
Penalty Kill
60.0% (20)
36.4% (33)
+23.6%
On penalty kill, Hayes has a +23.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suzuki shoots right. Hayes is 56.9% vs right-shot opponents (153).
Hayes shoots left. Suzuki is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (976).
Home / Away
Hayes
Suzuki
Home
50.5% (200)
53.2% (645)
Away
53.4% (253)
50.1% (673)
By Period
Hayes
Suzuki
P1
58.8%
48.9%
P2
49.3%
51.5%
P3
48.0%
54.9%
OT
66.7%
25.0%
Final 5 min
56.9%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
52.1%
Suzuki
62.0%▲
55.5%
51.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 2024 | 1 | 09:45 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |