Scouting Report
Kevin Hayes holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 49.5% vs Suzuki 47.5% (+2.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Suzuki 51.1%
Defensive zone
Suzuki 60.5%
Neutral zone
Suzuki 51.1%
Result
Nick Suzuki favored at 51.1%
48.9%
51.1%
Hayes
Suzuki
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Hayes
Suzuki
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
0
2
Hayes
Suzuki
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Suzuki
Edge
Even Strength
48.5% (557)
47.0% (1,066)
+1.5%
Power Play
53.3% (107)
49.5% (204)
+3.8%
Penalty Kill
58.3% (12)
46.6% (131)
+11.7%
On penalty kill, Hayes has a +11.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suzuki shoots right. Hayes is 49.8% vs right-shot opponents (237).
Hayes shoots left. Suzuki is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,005).
Home / Away
Hayes
Suzuki
Home
50.8% (313)
49.4% (686)
Away
48.2% (363)
45.3% (715)
By Period
Hayes
Suzuki
P1
52.3%
45.6%
P2
47.7%
46.9%
P3
48.4%
49.8%
OT
50.0%
38.1%
Final 5 min
50.9%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
49.4%
Suzuki
62.0%▲
55.5%
47.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2023 | 1 | 08:45 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 1 | 09:06 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |